Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 50.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 49.9% vs Nielsen 50.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 51.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 54.7%
Neutral zone
Paquette 51.2%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Paquette
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Paquette
Nielsen
Last 5: Paquette 3-2 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
1
0
Paquette
Nielsen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Paquette
Nielsen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (215)
50.7% (899)
+2.3%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
54.8% (73)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
45.7% (197)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Paquette is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Paquette shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Paquette
Nielsen
Home
52.1% (167)
51.1% (595)
Away
46.6% (116)
49.1% (574)
By Period
Paquette
Nielsen
P1
48.8%
53.2%
P2
51.0%
48.1%
P3
50.0%
49.3%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
49.8%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2016 | 3 | 03:36 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |