Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 47.1% vs Nielsen 53.5% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 62.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 53.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 63.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 59.6%
59.6%
40.4%
Coyle
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coyle
Nielsen
Last 6: Coyle 2-4 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
Nielsen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
2
Coyle
Nielsen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Coyle
Nielsen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (201)
54.2% (906)
-7.4%
Power Play
41.3% (46)
63.2% (152)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.3% (156)
+57.7%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +57.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Coyle is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Coyle shoots right. Nielsen is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Coyle
Nielsen
Home
46.3% (149)
55.3% (608)
Away
45.5% (99)
52.3% (606)
By Period
Coyle
Nielsen
P1
43.7%
54.1%
P2
46.3%
52.6%
P3
49.4%
54.0%
OT
25.0%
65.4%
Final 5 min
43.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.0%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2017 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Feb 12, 2017 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |