Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 46.2%). Look for Boyce on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyce wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 47.0% vs Nielsen 46.6% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyce 54.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 54.5%
Neutral zone
Boyce 52.9%
Result
Darryl Boyce favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Boyce
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boyce
Nielsen
Last 5: Boyce 3-2 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyce
1
0
Boyce
Nielsen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Boyce
Nielsen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyce
2
1
Boyce
Nielsen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (424)
46.2% (766)
+0.5%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
43.4% (53)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
48.0% (125)
-25.8%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Boyce is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Boyce shoots left. Nielsen is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Boyce
Nielsen
Home
51.5% (239)
46.8% (489)
Away
40.8% (218)
45.6% (476)
By Period
Boyce
Nielsen
P1
47.7%
45.5%
P2
46.5%
47.5%
P3
44.8%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.4%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 8, 2011 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |