Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Nielsen 53.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 64.0%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 85.1%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 58.9%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
MacKenzie
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
MacKenzie
Nielsen
Last 6: MacKenzie 1-5 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
4
MacKenzie
Nielsen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Nielsen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
54.2% (906)
-1.7%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
63.2% (152)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
42.3% (156)
-0.6%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
MacKenzie shoots left. Nielsen is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Nielsen
Home
52.7% (404)
55.3% (608)
Away
47.0% (368)
52.3% (606)
By Period
MacKenzie
Nielsen
P1
50.0%
54.1%
P2
50.0%
52.6%
P3
49.4%
54.0%
OT
80.0%
65.4%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 06:56 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 05:42 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |