Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Nielsen 45.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 74.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 79.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 75.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Roy
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Roy
Nielsen
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
4
Roy
Nielsen
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
5
Roy
Nielsen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
5
Roy
Nielsen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
45.6% (906)
+4.7%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
62.2% (45)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
39.6% (192)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Roy shoots left. Nielsen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Home / Away
Roy
Nielsen
Home
52.4% (683)
45.6% (581)
Away
48.6% (646)
44.9% (575)
By Period
Roy
Nielsen
P1
48.3%
47.0%
P2
49.5%
44.0%
P3
53.9%
44.9%
OT
48.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 4, 2012 | OT | 00:11 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 4, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 08:16 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 1 | 06:47 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |