Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 48.1% vs Nielsen 46.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 72.8%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 54.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 59.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Staal
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Staal
Nielsen
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Nielsen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Nielsen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Nielsen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,219)
46.2% (766)
+1.2%
Power Play
50.8% (356)
43.4% (53)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (141)
48.0% (125)
-0.5%
On power play, Staal has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Staal is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,087).
Staal shoots left. Nielsen is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Staal
Nielsen
Home
49.8% (880)
46.8% (489)
Away
46.2% (871)
45.6% (476)
By Period
Staal
Nielsen
P1
46.4%
45.5%
P2
46.1%
47.5%
P3
50.7%
46.5%
OT
53.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |