Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.1% vs Nielsen 46.7% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 63.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 62.8%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 59.6%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Staal
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Staal
Nielsen
Last 7: Staal 2-5 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Nielsen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Staal
Nielsen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
4
Staal
Nielsen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (930)
47.6% (836)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.4% (125)
53.2% (47)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (60)
38.0% (158)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Staal shoots left. Nielsen is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Staal
Nielsen
Home
53.5% (561)
50.4% (508)
Away
48.9% (554)
42.6% (533)
By Period
Staal
Nielsen
P1
50.1%
48.1%
P2
50.3%
44.6%
P3
53.1%
46.8%
OT
53.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |