Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Nielsen 48.9% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 57.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 57.9%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 58.0%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Staal
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Staal
Nielsen
Last 7: Staal 1-6 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
1
Staal
Nielsen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
2
Staal
Nielsen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
0
3
Staal
Nielsen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,026)
49.7% (759)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.0% (211)
48.1% (106)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
37.9% (58)
-2.9%
On power play, Staal has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Staal shoots left. Nielsen is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Staal
Nielsen
Home
52.4% (647)
49.8% (422)
Away
49.7% (610)
47.9% (501)
By Period
Staal
Nielsen
P1
49.4%
48.8%
P2
53.9%
48.7%
P3
49.1%
49.0%
OT
81.8%
43.8%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |