Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.7% vs Compher 45.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 52.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 51.8%
Neutral zone
Compher 51.3%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Nielsen
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nielsen
Compher
Last 5: Nielsen 2-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Nielsen
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (836)
44.3% (431)
+3.3%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
50.7% (73)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (158)
44.6% (101)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Nielsen is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (445).
Nielsen shoots left. Compher is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Compher
Home
50.4% (508)
47.2% (282)
Away
42.6% (533)
43.3% (323)
By Period
Nielsen
Compher
P1
48.1%
47.6%
P2
44.6%
40.3%
P3
46.8%
47.4%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 15:28 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |