Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Josefson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 53.5% vs Josefson 51.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 58.6%
Defensive zone
Josefson 70.6%
Neutral zone
Josefson 51.9%
Result
Jacob Josefson favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Nielsen
Josefson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nielsen
Josefson
Last 5: Nielsen 2-3 Josefson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Josefson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
0
1
Nielsen
Josefson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
2
Nielsen
Josefson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Josefson
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (906)
51.4% (290)
+2.8%
Power Play
63.2% (152)
53.8% (13)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (156)
60.0% (10)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Josefson has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Josefson shoots left. Nielsen is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Josefson is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Josefson
Home
55.3% (608)
55.7% (185)
Away
52.3% (606)
46.1% (128)
By Period
Nielsen
Josefson
P1
54.1%
45.5%
P2
52.6%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
59.2%
OT
65.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 18:03 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |