Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Benn 52.9% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 24-12 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 94.2%
Defensive zone
Benn 73.2%
Neutral zone
Benn 76.3%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Nielsen
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
12
(36 meetings)
24
12
Nielsen
Benn
Last 10: Nielsen 7-3 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
7
Nielsen
Benn
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
14
2
Nielsen
Benn
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
7
3
Nielsen
Benn
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
53.5% (6,450)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
52.5% (2,054)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
49.3% (515)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Benn
Home
49.9% (4,766)
54.9% (4,547)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
51.0% (4,488)
By Period
Nielsen
Benn
P1
49.7%
51.9%
P2
47.6%
52.6%
P3
48.2%
54.0%
OT
46.6%
62.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 06:56 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 16:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 1 | 15:27 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |