Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 49.3% vs Benn 52.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 85.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 67.9%
Neutral zone
Benn 61.5%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Nielsen
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nielsen
Benn
Last 5: Nielsen 4-1 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Benn
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (856)
52.7% (505)
-1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (38)
53.1% (245)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (190)
53.6% (28)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Nielsen is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (658).
Nielsen shoots left. Benn is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Benn
Home
51.0% (510)
55.5% (398)
Away
47.7% (574)
50.0% (380)
By Period
Nielsen
Benn
P1
53.0%
50.2%
P2
45.4%
56.3%
P3
49.5%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |