Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 42.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Stoll 50.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 67.9%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 78.4%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 67.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Nielsen
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nielsen
Stoll
Last 6: Nielsen 1-5 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
2
Nielsen
Stoll
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
2
Nielsen
Stoll
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
1
Nielsen
Stoll
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (841)
51.8% (953)
-2.3%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
50.8% (65)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (172)
45.5% (143)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Stoll has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Nielsen is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Nielsen shoots left. Stoll is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Stoll
Home
51.2% (510)
51.0% (606)
Away
45.4% (540)
51.0% (555)
By Period
Nielsen
Stoll
P1
48.6%
51.3%
P2
47.4%
52.6%
P3
48.9%
48.8%
OT
40.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:54 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |