Frans Nielsen vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.7% vs Pageau 51.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 66.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 62.6%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 64.4%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Nielsen
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Nielsen
Pageau
Last 9: Nielsen 3-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nielsen
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
Nielsen
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (836)
51.6% (896)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
49.2% (63)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (158)
50.0% (174)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Nielsen is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (445).
Nielsen shoots left. Pageau is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Pageau
Home
50.4% (508)
51.2% (559)
Away
42.6% (533)
51.2% (574)
By Period
Nielsen
Pageau
P1
48.1%
50.4%
P2
44.6%
52.4%
P3
46.8%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 04:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 3, 2018 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 10:08 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |