Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 26 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Carter 53.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 47-27 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 94.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 78.9%
Neutral zone
Carter 85.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 86.0%
14.0%
86.0%
Nielsen
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
27
(74 meetings)
47
27
Nielsen
Carter
Last 10: Nielsen 6-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
15
9
Nielsen
Carter
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
18
8
Nielsen
Carter
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
14
10
Nielsen
Carter
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
53.3% (8,728)
-4.0%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
57.3% (1,554)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
46.3% (1,087)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Carter
Home
49.9% (4,766)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Nielsen
Carter
P1
49.7%
53.6%
P2
47.6%
52.8%
P3
48.2%
53.1%
OT
46.6%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |