Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.6% vs Carter 54.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 92.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 73.2%
Neutral zone
Carter 85.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 83.7%
16.3%
83.7%
Nielsen
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
Nielsen
Carter
Last 9: Nielsen 9-0 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
0
Nielsen
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
0
Nielsen
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
0
Nielsen
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (766)
56.2% (445)
-10.0%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
54.4% (114)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (125)
37.5% (40)
+10.5%
On power play, Carter has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Nielsen is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Nielsen shoots left. Carter is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Carter
Home
46.8% (489)
55.0% (291)
Away
45.6% (476)
54.5% (314)
By Period
Nielsen
Carter
P1
45.5%
57.2%
P2
47.5%
46.6%
P3
46.5%
58.0%
OT
37.5%
77.8%
Final 5 min
49.8%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 24, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |