Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nielsen wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.7% vs Carter 54.6% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 71.8%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 76.4%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 71.7%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Nielsen
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Nielsen
Carter
Last 9: Nielsen 3-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Nielsen
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Nielsen
Carter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Nielsen
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (836)
53.1% (307)
-5.5%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
62.5% (64)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (158)
70.4% (27)
-32.4%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Nielsen is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (445).
Nielsen shoots left. Carter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Carter
Home
50.4% (508)
58.9% (285)
Away
42.6% (533)
47.8% (113)
By Period
Nielsen
Carter
P1
48.1%
54.9%
P2
44.6%
57.5%
P3
46.8%
56.0%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |