Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.9% vs Carter 51.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 72.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 78.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 72.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Nielsen
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Nielsen
Carter
Last 7: Nielsen 6-1 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
0
Nielsen
Carter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (759)
49.9% (935)
-0.2%
Power Play
48.1% (106)
61.8% (157)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (58)
46.7% (92)
-8.8%
On power play, Carter has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Nielsen is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Nielsen shoots left. Carter is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Carter
Home
49.8% (422)
52.4% (638)
Away
47.9% (501)
50.0% (546)
By Period
Nielsen
Carter
P1
48.8%
49.6%
P2
48.7%
50.9%
P3
49.0%
53.0%
OT
43.8%
58.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |