Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Larsson 49.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 21-19 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 67.9%
Defensive zone
Larsson 63.9%
Neutral zone
Larsson 50.2%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Nielsen
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
21
(40 meetings)
19
21
Nielsen
Larsson
Last 10: Nielsen 6-4 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
8
0
Nielsen
Larsson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
9
Nielsen
Larsson
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
6
12
Nielsen
Larsson
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
50.5% (4,382)
-1.2%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
47.7% (153)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
43.8% (714)
-2.1%
On power play, Nielsen has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Larsson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,402).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Larsson
Home
49.9% (4,766)
51.2% (2,493)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
48.0% (2,756)
By Period
Nielsen
Larsson
P1
49.7%
51.6%
P2
47.6%
49.7%
P3
48.2%
47.2%
OT
46.6%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 25, 2019 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |