Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.7% vs Larsson 53.9% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 66.0%
Defensive zone
Larsson 77.6%
Neutral zone
Larsson 66.2%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Nielsen
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nielsen
Larsson
Last 7: Nielsen 5-2 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
0
Nielsen
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Larsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (836)
54.8% (509)
-7.2%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
36.4% (11)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (158)
54.6% (119)
-16.6%
On power play, Nielsen has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Nielsen is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Nielsen shoots left. Larsson is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Larsson
Home
50.4% (508)
57.5% (301)
Away
42.6% (533)
51.8% (338)
By Period
Nielsen
Larsson
P1
48.1%
54.8%
P2
44.6%
49.1%
P3
46.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
60.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 05:47 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 3 | 03:04 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |