Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 49.3% vs Toews 56.8% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 90.5%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 61.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 70.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Nielsen
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Nielsen
Toews
Last 10: Nielsen 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nielsen
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
0
Nielsen
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Nielsen
Toews
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (856)
55.9% (1,143)
-4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (38)
65.1% (304)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (190)
48.5% (97)
-7.4%
On power play, Toews has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Nielsen is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (658).
Nielsen shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Toews
Home
51.0% (510)
61.7% (810)
Away
47.7% (574)
52.3% (734)
By Period
Nielsen
Toews
P1
53.0%
56.0%
P2
45.4%
56.9%
P3
49.5%
59.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
61.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 01:50 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |