Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Nielsen wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Toews 58.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 93.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 70.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 90.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 82.2%
17.8%
82.2%
Nielsen
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
7
(20 meetings)
13
7
Nielsen
Toews
Last 10: Nielsen 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nielsen
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
7
2
Nielsen
Toews
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
3
Nielsen
Toews
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
58.2% (1,200)
-7.5%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
62.8% (250)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
53.7% (123)
-8.0%
On power play, Toews has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Toews is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Toews
Home
51.1% (595)
59.8% (805)
Away
49.1% (574)
57.3% (768)
By Period
Nielsen
Toews
P1
53.2%
60.2%
P2
48.1%
60.7%
P3
49.3%
55.9%
OT
42.9%
44.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
61.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 9, 2015 | OT | 01:25 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 03:03 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 9, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |