Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (59% H2H, 41 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 52-49 in 101 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 66.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Nielsen
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
49
(101 meetings)
52
49
Nielsen
Staal
Last 10: Nielsen 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
21
15
Nielsen
Staal
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
14
10
Nielsen
Staal
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
17
24
Nielsen
Staal
41 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
55.9% (14,620)
-6.6%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
62.7% (1,745)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
48.0% (2,896)
-6.3%
On power play, Staal has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Staal
Home
49.9% (4,766)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Nielsen
Staal
P1
49.7%
55.2%
P2
47.6%
55.9%
P3
48.2%
54.9%
OT
46.6%
56.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 05:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 24, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 15:14 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:57 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |