Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Nielsen wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Staal 57.3% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 76.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 78.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 76.2%
23.8%
76.2%
Nielsen
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Nielsen
Staal
Last 10: Nielsen 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
5
2
Nielsen
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Nielsen
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
56.6% (1,075)
-5.9%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
66.7% (141)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
58.1% (179)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Staal is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Staal
Home
51.1% (595)
57.7% (735)
Away
49.1% (574)
57.9% (660)
By Period
Nielsen
Staal
P1
53.2%
61.8%
P2
48.1%
55.7%
P3
49.3%
56.1%
OT
42.9%
56.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | OT | 04:25 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 29, 2016 | OT | 02:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 3 | 08:19 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2015 | OT | 00:41 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 14:46 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |