Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Lehtera 50.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 67.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 73.3%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 52.0%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Nielsen
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Nielsen
Lehtera
Last 10: Nielsen 8-2 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
3
5
Nielsen
Lehtera
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
9
3
Nielsen
Lehtera
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
8
Nielsen
Lehtera
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
50.4% (2,714)
-1.1%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
55.8% (339)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
41.3% (104)
+0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Lehtera
Home
49.9% (4,766)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Nielsen
Lehtera
P1
49.7%
53.2%
P2
47.6%
50.6%
P3
48.2%
48.1%
OT
46.6%
54.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 27, 2016 | OT | 03:36 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 24, 2015 | OT | 03:26 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 24, 2015 | OT | 00:37 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 10:52 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |