Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Lehtera 51.1% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 51.5%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 84.4%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 59.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Nielsen
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Nielsen
Lehtera
Last 10: Nielsen 3-7 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
2
4
Nielsen
Lehtera
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nielsen
Lehtera
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
7
Nielsen
Lehtera
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (841)
50.6% (884)
-1.1%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
53.5% (155)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (172)
59.1% (22)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Lehtera has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Nielsen is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Nielsen shoots left. Lehtera is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Lehtera
Home
51.2% (510)
55.6% (549)
Away
45.4% (540)
46.5% (512)
By Period
Nielsen
Lehtera
P1
48.6%
53.8%
P2
47.4%
48.9%
P3
48.9%
50.8%
OT
40.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:42 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:58 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |