Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 49.5%). Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 53.6%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 53.4%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 51.4%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Nielsen
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Nielsen
Brodziak
Last 7: Nielsen 2-5 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Brodziak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
3
Nielsen
Brodziak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
2
Nielsen
Brodziak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
51.4% (461)
-0.7%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
28.6% (7)
+26.2%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
40.9% (88)
+4.8%
On power play, Nielsen has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Nielsen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Nielsen shoots left. Brodziak is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Brodziak
Home
51.1% (595)
45.8% (277)
Away
49.1% (574)
53.0% (279)
By Period
Nielsen
Brodziak
P1
53.2%
50.0%
P2
48.1%
48.8%
P3
49.3%
49.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 17:37 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 4, 2015 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 3 | 17:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 1 | 01:15 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |