Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 35 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Turris 50.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 58-56 in 114 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 63.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 69.3%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 52.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Nielsen
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
56
-
58
(114 meetings)
56
58
Nielsen
Turris
Last 10: Nielsen 7-3 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
10
25
Nielsen
Turris
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
23
13
Nielsen
Turris
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
23
20
Nielsen
Turris
43 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
50.2% (7,653)
-0.9%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
52.4% (1,312)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
48.6% (580)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Turris
Home
49.9% (4,766)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
Nielsen
Turris
P1
49.7%
51.5%
P2
47.6%
50.8%
P3
48.2%
48.4%
OT
46.6%
56.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 2, 2017 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 12:54 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |