Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nielsen wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 45.6% vs Turris 47.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 51.9%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 81.7%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 63.3%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Nielsen
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Nielsen
Turris
Last 10: Nielsen 4-6 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
5
Nielsen
Turris
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
1
4
Nielsen
Turris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (906)
46.6% (614)
-1.0%
Power Play
62.2% (45)
49.0% (98)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (192)
40.0% (10)
-0.4%
On power play, Nielsen has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Nielsen is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (373).
Nielsen shoots left. Turris is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Turris
Home
45.6% (581)
50.3% (352)
Away
44.9% (575)
43.4% (371)
By Period
Nielsen
Turris
P1
47.0%
48.1%
P2
44.0%
45.8%
P3
44.9%
46.5%
OT
42.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 05:13 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 01:00 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 2 | 10:02 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 3, 2012 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |