Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Turris 49.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 79.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 53.3%
Neutral zone
Turris 66.3%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Nielsen
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Nielsen
Turris
Last 10: Nielsen 5-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
2
Nielsen
Turris
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
1
Nielsen
Turris
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
6
3
Nielsen
Turris
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (392)
50.3% (648)
-0.3%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
41.1% (151)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (146)
52.1% (121)
-11.7%
On power play, Nielsen has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Nielsen is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Nielsen shoots left. Turris is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Turris
Home
48.9% (274)
51.4% (453)
Away
47.2% (284)
46.7% (467)
By Period
Nielsen
Turris
P1
47.9%
50.7%
P2
49.7%
50.5%
P3
46.3%
45.6%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |