Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Eller 51.5% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 60.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 57.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 63.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Nielsen
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Nielsen
Eller
Last 7: Nielsen 5-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
1
Nielsen
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (841)
51.6% (705)
-2.1%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
57.9% (19)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (172)
50.0% (60)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Nielsen is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Nielsen shoots left. Eller is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Eller
Home
51.2% (510)
54.6% (383)
Away
45.4% (540)
48.9% (401)
By Period
Nielsen
Eller
P1
48.6%
53.8%
P2
47.4%
52.5%
P3
48.9%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 11:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |