Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Nielsen wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 53.5% vs Draisaitl 49.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 56.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 73.7%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 77.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Nielsen
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Nielsen
Draisaitl
Last 9: Nielsen 8-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
0
Nielsen
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
5
1
Nielsen
Draisaitl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (906)
49.2% (762)
+5.0%
Power Play
63.2% (152)
51.8% (164)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (156)
34.8% (46)
+7.5%
On power play, Nielsen has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Nielsen is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Draisaitl is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Draisaitl
Home
55.3% (608)
54.3% (475)
Away
52.3% (606)
43.9% (497)
By Period
Nielsen
Draisaitl
P1
54.1%
47.5%
P2
52.6%
49.7%
P3
54.0%
50.3%
OT
65.4%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |