Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.5%). Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 49.3% vs Foligno 48.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 65.2%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 60.1%
Neutral zone
Foligno 56.2%
Result
Marcus Foligno favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Nielsen
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nielsen
Foligno
Last 5: Nielsen 1-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Nielsen
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
3
Nielsen
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (856)
46.9% (258)
+4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (38)
59.4% (32)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (190)
54.5% (11)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Nielsen is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (658).
Nielsen shoots left. Foligno is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Foligno
Home
51.0% (510)
43.4% (143)
Away
47.7% (574)
53.2% (158)
By Period
Nielsen
Foligno
P1
53.0%
46.7%
P2
45.4%
53.1%
P3
49.5%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 05:24 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Marcus Foligno |