Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.1%). Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.9% vs Kruger 48.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 70.0%
Defensive zone
Kruger 74.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 54.2%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Nielsen
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nielsen
Kruger
Last 6: Nielsen 3-3 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
0
1
Nielsen
Kruger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
2
Nielsen
Kruger
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (759)
48.9% (315)
+0.8%
Power Play
48.1% (106)
50.0% (2)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (58)
44.6% (74)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Kruger has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. Nielsen is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nielsen shoots left. Kruger is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Kruger
Home
49.8% (422)
49.3% (221)
Away
47.9% (501)
46.5% (170)
By Period
Nielsen
Kruger
P1
48.8%
55.9%
P2
48.7%
39.1%
P3
49.0%
48.4%
OT
43.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2019 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:30 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:45 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |