Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 49.3% vs Arcobello 50.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 59.5%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 77.9%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 65.3%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Nielsen
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Nielsen
Arcobello
Last 5: Nielsen 0-5 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
0
1
Nielsen
Arcobello
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
0
4
Nielsen
Arcobello
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (856)
52.6% (344)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (38)
46.9% (32)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (190)
35.7% (28)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Nielsen is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Nielsen shoots left. Arcobello is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Arcobello
Home
51.0% (510)
53.8% (173)
Away
47.7% (574)
48.9% (231)
By Period
Nielsen
Arcobello
P1
53.0%
51.6%
P2
45.4%
50.7%
P3
49.5%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 09:33 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |