Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.9% vs Jankowski 51.7% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 69.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 66.8%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 69.3%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Nielsen
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nielsen
Jankowski
Last 6: Nielsen 1-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Nielsen
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
2
Nielsen
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
2
Nielsen
Jankowski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (759)
52.6% (701)
-2.9%
Power Play
48.1% (106)
66.7% (12)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (58)
45.8% (107)
-7.9%
On power play, Jankowski has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Nielsen is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nielsen shoots left. Jankowski is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Jankowski
Home
49.8% (422)
56.6% (424)
Away
47.9% (501)
47.0% (396)
By Period
Nielsen
Jankowski
P1
48.8%
49.3%
P2
48.7%
57.4%
P3
49.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 06:53 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |