Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Scheifele 44.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 56.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 88.7%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 80.6%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Nielsen
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nielsen
Scheifele
Last 5: Nielsen 4-1 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
44.5% (943)
+6.2%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
42.2% (180)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
44.2% (43)
+1.5%
On power play, Nielsen has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Nielsen is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Nielsen shoots left. Scheifele is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Scheifele
Home
51.1% (595)
47.4% (549)
Away
49.1% (574)
41.3% (617)
By Period
Nielsen
Scheifele
P1
53.2%
43.7%
P2
48.1%
44.5%
P3
49.3%
43.8%
OT
42.9%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 15:46 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |