Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.7% vs Hanzal 54.1% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 63.5%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 85.6%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 70.7%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Nielsen
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Nielsen
Hanzal
Last 8: Nielsen 5-3 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
2
Nielsen
Hanzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
1
Nielsen
Hanzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (836)
56.7% (321)
-9.1%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
60.6% (33)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (158)
46.3% (80)
-8.3%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Nielsen is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Nielsen shoots left. Hanzal is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Hanzal
Home
50.4% (508)
58.6% (220)
Away
42.6% (533)
51.4% (214)
By Period
Nielsen
Hanzal
P1
48.1%
58.3%
P2
44.6%
56.7%
P3
46.8%
50.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.4%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |