Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nielsen wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Barzal 42.2% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 55.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 78.4%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 71.9%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Nielsen
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Nielsen
Barzal
Last 10: Nielsen 5-5 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
3
Nielsen
Barzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
4
2
Nielsen
Barzal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
7
5
Nielsen
Barzal
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
41.9% (3,558)
+7.4%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
43.4% (205)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
42.3% (26)
-0.6%
On power play, Nielsen has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Nielsen shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,695).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Barzal
Home
49.9% (4,766)
43.1% (1,893)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
40.9% (1,896)
By Period
Nielsen
Barzal
P1
49.7%
40.6%
P2
47.6%
44.4%
P3
48.2%
41.0%
OT
46.6%
27.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2018 | OT | 02:29 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 02:42 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 04:06 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |