Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.8% vs Barzal 42.9% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Barzal leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 71.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 63.6%
Neutral zone
Barzal 66.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Nielsen
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Nielsen
Barzal
Last 10: Nielsen 5-5 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
2
Nielsen
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
1
Nielsen
Barzal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
5
Nielsen
Barzal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (409)
40.7% (514)
+5.8%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
58.3% (24)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
50.0% (10)
-8.3%
On power play, Barzal has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Nielsen is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Nielsen shoots left. Barzal is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Barzal
Home
44.7% (264)
43.0% (279)
Away
47.9% (192)
40.1% (269)
By Period
Nielsen
Barzal
P1
48.4%
41.2%
P2
49.7%
46.4%
P3
38.0%
37.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 04:12 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 01:59 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 2, 2019 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |