Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 53.5% vs Cullen 51.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 71.1%
Defensive zone
Cullen 79.0%
Neutral zone
Cullen 56.2%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Nielsen
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Nielsen
Cullen
Last 7: Nielsen 2-5 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Cullen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
3
Nielsen
Cullen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Nielsen
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (906)
54.0% (648)
+0.2%
Power Play
63.2% (152)
58.3% (24)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (156)
40.6% (187)
+1.7%
On power play, Nielsen has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Nielsen is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Cullen is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Cullen
Home
55.3% (608)
52.9% (416)
Away
52.3% (606)
49.7% (443)
By Period
Nielsen
Cullen
P1
54.1%
53.5%
P2
52.6%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
49.2%
OT
65.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.8%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 05:07 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |