Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Ribeiro leads 21-18 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 83.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 65.9%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 60.8%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Nielsen
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
21
(39 meetings)
18
21
Nielsen
Ribeiro
Last 10: Nielsen 5-5 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
7
11
Nielsen
Ribeiro
18 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Nielsen
Ribeiro
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
8
7
Nielsen
Ribeiro
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
42.9% (4,887)
+6.4%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
45.6% (930)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
33.3% (147)
+8.4%
On power play, Nielsen has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Ribeiro
Home
49.9% (4,766)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
Nielsen
Ribeiro
P1
49.7%
42.6%
P2
47.6%
44.3%
P3
48.2%
41.8%
OT
46.6%
49.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2016 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 3 | 07:02 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |