Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Ribeiro 45.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 73.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 51.3%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 61.0%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Nielsen
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Nielsen
Ribeiro
Last 6: Nielsen 2-4 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
Nielsen
Ribeiro
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
3
Nielsen
Ribeiro
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (392)
45.0% (473)
+5.0%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
47.8% (23)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (146)
22.2% (9)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Nielsen is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Nielsen shoots left. Ribeiro is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Ribeiro
Home
48.9% (274)
48.9% (268)
Away
47.2% (284)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Nielsen
Ribeiro
P1
47.9%
42.5%
P2
49.7%
44.8%
P3
46.3%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
36.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |