Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 50.1% vs Ribeiro 39.3% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 82.9%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 82.7%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 55.9%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Nielsen
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Nielsen
Ribeiro
Last 5: Nielsen 2-3 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
2
Nielsen
Ribeiro
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Ribeiro
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (899)
37.8% (650)
+12.9%
Power Play
54.8% (73)
38.9% (108)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (197)
0.0% (2)
+45.7%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. Nielsen is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Nielsen shoots left. Ribeiro is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Ribeiro
Home
51.1% (595)
37.9% (417)
Away
49.1% (574)
37.9% (343)
By Period
Nielsen
Ribeiro
P1
53.2%
38.3%
P2
48.1%
38.8%
P3
49.3%
36.4%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
33.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.1%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2015 | 1 | 09:29 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |