Frans Nielsen vs Mikhail Grigorenko
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Grigorenko on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Grigorenko 47.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 52.8%
Defensive zone
Grigorenko 51.6%
Neutral zone
Grigorenko 57.2%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Nielsen
Grigorenko
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nielsen
Grigorenko
Last 5: Nielsen 1-4 Grigorenko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
1
2
Nielsen
Grigorenko
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
1
Nielsen
Grigorenko
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
0
1
Nielsen
Grigorenko
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Grigorenko
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (841)
44.5% (301)
+5.0%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
63.0% (27)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (172)
66.7% (3)
-26.0%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grigorenko shoots left. Nielsen is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Nielsen shoots left. Grigorenko is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Grigorenko
Home
51.2% (510)
52.5% (141)
Away
45.4% (540)
41.6% (190)
By Period
Nielsen
Grigorenko
P1
48.6%
45.8%
P2
47.4%
43.0%
P3
48.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |