Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 45.6% vs Koivu 52.1% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 69.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 84.8%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 71.0%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Nielsen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Nielsen
Koivu
Last 5: Nielsen 0-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Nielsen
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Nielsen
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (906)
52.5% (802)
-6.9%
Power Play
62.2% (45)
52.0% (198)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (192)
49.5% (105)
-9.9%
On power play, Nielsen has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Nielsen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Nielsen shoots left. Koivu is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Koivu
Home
45.6% (581)
54.6% (584)
Away
44.9% (575)
49.7% (539)
By Period
Nielsen
Koivu
P1
47.0%
50.7%
P2
44.0%
51.1%
P3
44.9%
54.4%
OT
42.9%
57.6%
Final 5 min
48.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 10, 2011 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |