Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 49.3% vs Koivu 54.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 65.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 87.4%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 70.6%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Nielsen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Nielsen
Koivu
Last 5: Nielsen 0-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Nielsen
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Nielsen
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
Nielsen
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (856)
54.0% (948)
-2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (38)
58.7% (225)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (190)
54.3% (138)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Nielsen is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (658).
Nielsen shoots left. Koivu is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Koivu
Home
51.0% (510)
59.8% (669)
Away
47.7% (574)
49.7% (642)
By Period
Nielsen
Koivu
P1
53.0%
53.4%
P2
45.4%
56.2%
P3
49.5%
56.3%
OT
50.0%
36.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2013 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 29, 2013 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |