Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 49.3% vs Thompson 50.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 68.1%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 64.3%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 64.8%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Nielsen
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Nielsen
Thompson
Last 7: Nielsen 1-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Nielsen
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Nielsen
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Nielsen
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (856)
52.2% (785)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (38)
42.9% (14)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (190)
45.7% (175)
-4.6%
On power play, Nielsen has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Nielsen is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (658).
Nielsen shoots left. Thompson is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Thompson
Home
51.0% (510)
54.1% (475)
Away
47.7% (574)
47.9% (499)
By Period
Nielsen
Thompson
P1
53.0%
50.0%
P2
45.4%
49.5%
P3
49.5%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |