Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.9% vs Thompson 53.4% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 88.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 69.6%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 76.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Nielsen
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Nielsen
Thompson
Last 9: Nielsen 2-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
0
Nielsen
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
6
Nielsen
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nielsen
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (759)
54.5% (628)
-4.8%
Power Play
48.1% (106)
47.4% (19)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (58)
51.3% (113)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Nielsen is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Nielsen shoots left. Thompson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Thompson
Home
49.8% (422)
55.6% (329)
Away
47.9% (501)
52.4% (431)
By Period
Nielsen
Thompson
P1
48.8%
55.3%
P2
48.7%
48.1%
P3
49.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 16:14 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |