Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.9% vs Dowd 51.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 73.2%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 54.7%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 60.9%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Nielsen
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Nielsen
Dowd
Last 7: Nielsen 1-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Nielsen
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
4
Nielsen
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (759)
51.2% (381)
-1.5%
Power Play
48.1% (106)
100.0% (2)
-51.9%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (58)
53.9% (89)
-16.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Nielsen is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Nielsen shoots left. Dowd is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Dowd
Home
49.8% (422)
54.6% (218)
Away
47.9% (501)
49.6% (254)
By Period
Nielsen
Dowd
P1
48.8%
50.6%
P2
48.7%
55.1%
P3
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 10:50 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 12:13 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 07:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |